If you are an engineer or credit manager, you might answer that the glass is twice as big as it needs to be. The sales leader would add that while you were debating whether it was half empty or half full, they sold it.
The outlook for the economy is arguably mixed right now, and factually there is an argument for both the glass half full and glass half empty crowds. In fact, when we study forecasts for the economy, we get three dominant scenarios that couldn’t be further apart.
The most optimistic of scenarios assumes that localized lockdowns work against the pandemic and a smaller section of the economy is impacted. Some success with early vaccine distribution is accomplished early in Q1 and some broader-based travel starts to open.… Read the rest